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Iraq Study group will recommend “pull back”

From NYT:

The bipartisan Iraq Study Group reached a consensus on Wednesday on a final report that will call for a gradual pullback of the 15 American combat brigades now in Iraq but stop short of setting a firm timetable for their withdrawal, according to people familiar with the panel’s deliberations.

The report, unanimously approved by the 10-member panel, led by James A. Baker III and Lee H. Hamilton, is to be delivered to President Bush next week. It is a compromise between distinct paths that the group has debated since March, avoiding a specific timetable, which has been opposed by Mr. Bush, but making it clear that the American troop commitment should not be open-ended. The recommendations of the group, formed at the request of members of Congress, are nonbinding.

A person who participated in the commission’s debate said that unless the government of Prime Minister Nuri Kamal al-Maliki believed that Mr. Bush was under pressure to pull back troops in the near future, “there will be zero sense of urgency to reach the political settlement that needs to be reached.”

The report recommends that Mr. Bush make it clear that he intends to start the withdrawal relatively soon, and people familiar with the debate over the final language said the implicit message was that the process should begin sometime next year.

The report leaves unstated whether the 15 combat brigades that are the bulk of American fighting forces in Iraq would be brought home, or simply pulled back to bases in Iraq or in neighboring countries. (A brigade typically consists of 3,000 to 5,000 troops.) From those bases, they would still be responsible for protecting a substantial number of American troops who would remain in Iraq, including 70,000 or more American trainers, logistics experts and members of a rapid reaction force.  more

 
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US settles in wrongful arrest

From CNN.com:

An Oregon lawyer wrongly arrested and accused of involvement in the 2004 Madrid train bombings has settled a lawsuit against the U.S. government for $2 million, attorneys told CNN on Wednesday.

Brandon Mayfield was arrested in Portland, Oregon, on a material witness warrant in May 2004, less than two months after the train bombings.

The settlement was confirmed by both sides. It was reached Tuesday during a conference with a federal judge, attorneys said.

The FBI identified Mayfield’s fingerprint on a blue plastic bag containing detonators found in a van used by the bombers. However, the FBI’s fingerprint identification was wrong and Mayfield was released several days later.

Mayfield and his family later sued the U.S. government for damages. The Portland-area attorney contended that he was a victim of profiling because he is a Muslim convert. more

Frist will not run

Senator Bill Frist will not run for President in ‘08.  He is supposed to make an announcement this afternoon.

(Rough cut vid)

 
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Sadr may be the key in Iraq

From Newsweek:

One way to understand Moqtada al-Sadr is to think of him as a young Mafia don. He aims for respectability, and is willing to kill for it. Yet the extent of his power isn’t obvious to the untrained eye. He has no standing army or police force, and the Mahdi Army gunmen he employs have no tanks or aircraft. You could mistake him—at your peril—for a common thug or gang leader. And if he or his people were to kill you for your ignorance, he wouldn’t claim credit. But the message would be clear to those who understand the brutal language of the Iraqi Street.

More than anyone, Sadr personifies the dilemma Washington faces: If American troops leave Iraq quickly, militia leaders like Sadr will be unleashed as never before, and full-scale civil war could follow. But the longer the American occupation lasts, the less popular America gets—and the more popular Sadr and his ilk become.

To many, Sadr’s brand of Shiite politics—homegrown, populist and ruthless—seems a natural outgrowth of the ruin left in Saddam Hussein’s wake, and a powerful part of what Iraq has become. The United Nations calculates that an unprecedented 3,709 Iraqi civilians were killed in October. Death squads connected to the Mahdi Army, as well as to other Shia and Sunni groups, capture and execute civilians in cold blood, sometimes dragging them out of hospitals or government ministries.  more

Hey, Sarasota, where’s those 18,000 votes – Lawsuit filed

I have listened to experts on this Sarasota problem.  It seems that this is a big deal.  18,000 votes.  If you look at those 18,000 votes they were overwhelmingly Democratic.  They would have definitely changed the outcome.

Here’s a copy of Lawsuit filed in Leon County, Florida.

TDS – Naming that thingy in Iraq

This ties in very nicely with my earlier post on the Civil War in Iraq.  As usual, TDS is funny than I was.

 
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Baghdad curfew lifted

The violence continues. 

 
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When is a Civil War not a civil war

The only reason that we have a question is because the Bush administration will not admit that they failed.  Because a civil war has to be seen as a failure.  NPR had a story on this todayNYT had a story alsoRandi Rhodes talked about it.  NBC and the LA Times have agreed to call Iraq a civil war. 

James Fearon, Professor of Political Science from Stanford, has a few words of wisdom on this subject:

Does the conflict in Iraq amount to a civil war? In many ways, the public debate over this question is largely political. Calling Iraq a “civil war” implies yet another failure for the Bush administration and adds force to the question of whether U.S. troops still have a constructive role to play.

Politics aside, however, the definition of civil war is not arbitrary. For some — and perhaps especially Americans — the term brings to mind all-out historical conflicts along the lines of the U.S. or Spanish civil wars. According to this notion, there will not be civil war in Iraq until we see mass mobilization of sectarian communities behind more or less conventional armies.

But a more standard definition is common today:

1) Civil war refers to a violent conflict between organized groups within a country that are fighting over control of the government, one side’s separatist goals, or some divisive government policy.  more

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Added the video below.

 
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MTP – General argues for 4 – 6 month of the right course

It seems like we have heard this argument before.  If we just really bear down for 4 – 6 months then we will win.  Unfortunately, we seem not to mobilize resources.  We seem to keep doing the same stuff over and over.

 
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Pope goes to Muslim Turkey to mend fences

This should have been done 20 years ago.

 
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300,000 troops would have been helpful

Who’s surprised?

 
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Obama in Iowa

The speculation continues.

 
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NY shooting

I disagree with Al Sharpton on a lot of things.  Some times I think that he is out for himself and not the community.  So, it was no surprise to me that he was out in front on this NY shooting. 

Now, it is interesting that when you look at terrible police shootings in the last 20 – 30 years, there aren’t any White people getting shot 10, 15 or 20 times.  It isn’t that White folks can’t be foolish, ignorant and drunk/high because I see that everytime I turn on COPS. 

Diallo was shot at 41 times.  He had no weapon.  Sean Bell was shot at 50 times.  Early reports suggest that neither he nor his buddies had a weapon.  The lawyer for the Detective Endowment Association called this incident “a tradegy, but not a crime.”  I’m trying to roll with him but I don’t know.  If a guy gets shot once that’s a tradegy.  If he gets shot 10 or 15 times, well that is something different all together. 

I think that All Americans support the police.  We would like to think that the police is serving to protect all Americans but sometimes I just have to wonder what’s the deal.

 
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Blacks and the GOP

I’m sorry but the neocons have poisoned the GOP.  There isn’t any room for moderates.  Neocons don’t believe in affirmative action or any social programs.  They don’t believe in increasing the minimum wage or universal healthcare.  No Child Left Behind was their answer to educational problems.  Simply put the GOP has not promoted one program that would help the poor and under-educated.  Not one.  So, why would Blacks and Latinos for that matter support them?

 
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Al-Maliki caught between the US and Al Sadr

This is a huge problem.  Iraqi leaders must chose between militias and buying into this government. 

 
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Dems promise to investigate

From MSNBC.com:

The incoming chairman of the House Energy and Commerce Committee is promising an array of oversight investigations that could provoke sharp disagreement with Republicans and the White House.

Rep. John Dingell, D-Mich., pledged that Democrats, swept to power in the Nov. 7 elections, would govern “in the middle” next year. But the veteran lawmaker has a reputation as one who has never avoided a fight and he did not back away from that reputation on Sunday.

Among the investigations he said he wants the committee to undertake:

  • The new Medicare drug benefit. “There are lots and lots and lots of scandals,” he said, without citing specifics.
  • Spending on government contractors in Iraq, including Halliburton Co., the Texas-based oil services conglomerate once led by Vice President Dick Cheney.
  • An energy task force overseen by Cheney. It “was carefully cooked to provide only participation by oil companies and energy companies,” Dingell said.

Meanwhile, the incoming chairman of the tax-writing House Ways and Means Committee said his committee would not take on contentious issues, such as extending expiring tax cuts or overhauling Social Security, at the beginning of the year. Rep.  Charles Rangel, D-N.Y., said Democrats do not want a fight with President Bush and want to prove they can govern. more

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Oversight, oversight. Oversight.  I can’t say it enough.  Without oversight you get Iraq!

Blair apologizes for slavery

From CNN.com:

Prime Minister Tony Blair will express “deep sorrow” for Britain’s role in the slave trade nearly 200 years after the legislation that led to its abolition, Sunday’s Observer newspaper reported.

However Blair’s statement will stop short of a full apology despite pressure from some black campaigners and community leaders, the newspaper said.

“I believe the bicentenary offers us a chance not just to say how profoundly shameful the slave trade was — how we condemn its existence utterly and praise those who fought for its abolition — but also to express our deep sorrow that it ever could have happened,” it quoted Blair as saying in a statement due to appear in New Nation, a newspaper aimed at the black community.  more

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Obama – A Way Forward in Iraq

Barack Obama delivered a major speech on Iraq on November 20th.  Here’s his speech. 

I like the speech.  The Center for American Progress has purposed something similiar several months back.  I have also discussed this issue on a number of occasions with Brian Katulis, Middle East expert at the Center for American Progress.  Brian has stressed that many in the Iraq government has hedged their bets.  They are in the Iraq government and they have a militia on the side.  He has said that the Iraq government has to make these folks make a decision.  The militias must stop.  Also, we need to re-deploy troops in Afghanistan where the Taliban are growing and in Southeast Asia where al Qaeda is growing.  Maybe Obama has been listening to my show? (Doubt it.)  Maybe he has been listening to the experts at the Center for American Progress?  (more likely.  ;-)

 
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John Mayer

In this tune, Who did you think I was, John sounds a lot like Stevie Ray Vaughn in my opinion.  Others have compared him to Dave Matthews.  No matter.  He has a great sound. 

 
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Cheney looking for help from Saudia Arabia

I’m just wondering if we should have done all of this diplomacy before we went to war?

 
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